Bayesian Fauci

^z 25th April 2023 at 10:46am

A key comment near the end of Dr. Fauci Looks Back: 'Something Clearly Went Wrong', an interview by David Wallace-Wells with Anthony Fauci, published in the New York Times magazine:

"... when there are people pushing back at you, even though they in many respects are off in left field somewhere, there always appears to be a kernel of truth — maybe a small kernel or a big segment of truth — in what they say. One of the things that we really need to do is we need to reach out now and find out what exactly was it that made them push back. ..."

The important point that Fauci makes, repeatedly and in diverse ways, throughout the conversation is the critical virtue of open mindedness — continuously looking for new evidence, continuously updating old beliefs, and continuously asking "How might I be wrong?"

(cf Bayes vs If (2018-12-07), Ideas vs Beliefs (2019-05-22), Bayesian Life Analysis (2019-05-30), Chance, Cause, Clash (2021-01-21), ...) - ^z - 2023-04-25